长三角生态工业园区碳排放特征与深度脱碳路径研究

    The Carbon Emission Characteristics of Eco-industrial Parks in Yangtze River Delta and Deep Decarbonization Path of Low-carbon Development

    • 摘要: 工业园区既是城市绿色低碳发展的主阵地,也是生态环境领域推动“双碳”战略落实的重要抓手。本研究基于长三角地区40家生态工业园区的能耗、生产总值(GDP)等数据,采用综合评价法、STIRPAT模型综合探究园区碳排放特征及其影响因素。结果表明,长三角生态工业园区碳排放强度大多集中在0.10~0.75 t·万元-1区间内,但不同园区间存在显著差异。园区能源消耗以非化石能源为主,平均占比为59.3%。其中,上海园区的非化石能源占比(约为75.6%)最高,其后依次为安徽(68.8%)和江苏(59.8%),浙江最少(35.1%)。GDP与能源结构在园区碳排放总量驱动因子中占主导地位,而土地利用、产业结构和技术水平对碳排放总量的影响不明显。基于园区能源消费与碳排放特征,以及园区产业结构、工作基础等因素,本研究识别出长三角生态工业园区“源头减碳—过程控碳—末端降碳”的碳中和实施路线。

       

      Abstract: Industrial parks are not only the main position of urban green and low-carbon development, but also important starting points for promoting the implementation of the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality strategy in the field of ecological environment. Based on the detailed data of energy consumption, gross domestic product (GDP), and other categories of 40 eco-industrial parks, this study comprehensively uses the comprehensive evaluation method and STIRPAT model to explore the characteristics of carbon emissions from the eco-industrial parks (EIP) in the Yangtze River Delta and their influencing factors. The results show that the carbon emission intensity of EIPs in the Yangtze River Delta is mostly concentrated in the range of 0.10-0.75 t per 10 thousands yuan, and the indicators of different parks are quite different. The energy consumption of these parks is dominated by non-fossil energy, accounting for 59.3% on average. Among them, the eco-industrial parks in Shanghai have the highest proportion of non-fossil energy (about 75.6%), followed by Anhui (68.8%) and Jiangsu (59.8%). The fraction of non-fossil energy in the eco-industrial parks of Zhejiang is the lowest (35.1%). GDP and energy structure contribute a lot to the total carbon emissions of the eco-industrial parks, while the land use, industrial structure, and technical level have little influence. Considering the characteristics of energy consumption and carbon emission, combined with the industrial structure and working basis of the EIPs, the carbon neutralization implementation route of "source carbon reduction-process carbon control-end carbon reduction" in the Yangtze River Delta eco-industrial park is identified.

       

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