节水灌溉措施下中国稻田CH4排放因子的计量与评价

    Quantification and Evaluation of CH4 Emission Factors of Paddy Fields in China under Water-Saving Irrigation Practices

    • 摘要: 稻田是重要的CH4排放源, 开发适用于不同节水灌溉措施下的中国稻田CH4排放因子, 对于制定有效的稻田减排策略至关重要。通过文献搜集156对稻田CH4观测值和111对水稻产量数据, 采用2种排放因子法量化了不同节水灌溉措施、水稻类型、肥料类型对稻田CH4排放的影响, 同时通过模型评价指标验证了方法的准确性。结果显示, 均值法(M1)和基于经验模型的回归系数法(M2)均能较好地模拟节水灌溉措施下稻田CH4排放, 其中M1的各项性能评价指标均优于M2, 其验证数据R2在0.74~0.95之间, 模型效率为0.63~0.95。基于最优性能的排放因子法M1, 研究发现控灌(CI)具有最高的稻田CH4减排潜力, 其无量纲排放因子在0.11~0.59之间, 高于干湿交替(AWD, 0.41~0.84)和其他节水灌溉措施(0.39~0.75)。考虑到节水灌溉措施对水稻产量的影响, 实施CI可能使水稻产量损失高达18.8%~44.7%, 而AWD和间歇灌溉(Ⅱ)则可能实现水稻增产(-0.76%~9.82%)。研究结果强调了区分常规水分管理方式对于评估节水灌溉措施适宜性的重要性。未来应以城镇或国家农业科技园区为中心, 发展因地制宜的节水灌溉技术, 以实现稻田增产与减排的双赢目标。

       

      Abstract: Paddy field is an important source of CH4 emissions, and developing CH4 emission factors tailored to different water-saving irrigation practices of paddy fields in China is crucial for formulating effective mitigation strategies. Based on a literature review, this study established a dataset comprising 156 pairs of CH4 observations and 111 pairs of rice yield data. Two emission factor methods were employed to quantify the effects of different water-saving irrigation practices, rice cultivation patterns, and fertilizer types on CH4 emissions, and the accuracy of these methods was validated using model evaluation metrics. The results indicate that both the mean method (M1) and the regression coefficient method based on empirical models (M2) successfully simulated CH4 emissions under various water-saving irrigation practices. However, M1 outperformed M2 in all performance metrics, with R2 values ranging from 0.74 to 0.95 and model efficiency (ME) varying between 0.63 and 0.95. Based on the best-performing emission factor method (M1), this study found that controlled irrigation (CI) exhibited the highest potential for CH4 reduction in paddy fields, and the dimensionless emission factors of CI ranged from 0.11 to 0.59, surpassing those of alternate wetting and drying (AWD, from 0.41 to 0.84) and other water-saving irrigation practices (0.39 to 0.75). Considering the impact of water-saving irrigation practices on rice yields, implementing CI could result in yield losses between 18.8% and 44.7%, whereas AWD and intermittent irrigation (Ⅱ) may lead to yield increases (from -0.76% to 9.82%). These findings underscore the importance of differentiating water regimes in evaluating the suitability of water-saving irrigation practices. Looking ahead, efforts should focus on developing region-specific water-saving irrigation technologies in urban areas or national agricultural science and technology parks, with large-scale demonstration and promotion to achieve the dual goals of increasing rice yields and reducing CH4 emissions in paddy fields.

       

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