药品及个人护理品废水中臭氧反应速率预测模型研究

    Study on Quantitative Structure-activity Relationship Model for Ozone Digestion Rate of Pharmaceuticals and Personal Care Products

    • 摘要: 药品及个人护理品(PPCPs)是近年来受到广泛关注的一类新兴污染物, 废水中臭氧反应速率(kO3)对于PPCPs的环境风险评价具有重要意义。本文采用量子化学方法对50种PPCPs类化合物进行结构优化, 基于因子分析法筛选Dragon分子结构描述符, 运用遗传算法-多元线性回归法构建废水中PPCPs与臭氧反应速率的定量结构-活性关系(QSAR)模型, 从分子描述符结构上解释影响臭氧反应速率的关键因素, 并根据经济合作与发展组织关于QSAR模型构建与验证导则对模型进行表征。结果显示, 模型具有良好的拟合优度、稳健性和较好的预测能力。基于Williams图定义的模型应用域(AD)结果表明, 模型有1个X离群点和2个Y离群点。因此, 所构建的QSAR模型可用于预测应用域内其他PPCPs废水中臭氧反应速率, 对提升污水处理厂PPCPs的去除工艺具有指导意义。

       

      Abstract: Pharmaceutical and personal care products (PPCPs) represent a novel category of pollutants that have garnered considerable attention in recent years. The ozone reaction rate (kO3) in wastewater is a pivotal factor in evaluating the environmental risk posed by PPCPs. In this paper, we employed quantum chemical methods to optimise the structures of 50 PPCPs analogues, screened Dragon molecular structure descriptors based on factor analysis, and constructed a quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) model for the reaction rate between PPCPs and ozone. The genetic algorithms-multivariate linear regression model was constructed and characterised according to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development guidelines on QSAR model construction and validation. The results demonstrate that the model has good goodness of fit, robustness and good predictive ability. The application domain (AD) of the model, as defined by Williams plot, revealed the presence of one X outlier and two Y outliers. Consequently, the constructed QSAR model can be employed to predict the ozone reaction rate in other PPCPs wastewater within the application domain, thereby providing valuable insights for enhancing the removal process of PPCPs in wastewater treatment plants.

       

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