2015-2022年四川盆地臭氧污染时空分布特征及其人口暴露水平评估

    Spatio-temporal Distribution of Ozone Pollution and Population Exposure Level Assessment in the Sichuan Basin, 2015-2022

    • 摘要: 近年来形势严峻的近地面臭氧(O3)污染成为影响人群健康的关键环境风险之一。为研究四川盆地O3污染时空分布对人口暴露的定量影响, 基于2015-2022年空气质量国控站点监测数据、中国大气成分近实时追踪数据集(TAP)和人口密度等资料, 利用统计学方法和人口加权的O3污染暴露模型, 分析四川盆地O3污染时空分布特征以及O3污染人口暴露水平。结果表明: (1) TAP数据集与站点观测数据高度相关, 具有可用性。(2) 2015-2022年四川盆地O3浓度波动上升, 2022年O3浓度较2015年升高11.73%, 以成都和重庆中心区域为主要高值中心, 并逐步蔓延形成区域性O3污染的空间格局。(3) 各城市O3人口加权平均浓度高于O3区域平均浓度, 指示区域潜在O3健康风险较大。2015-2022年四川盆地暴露于中高浓度O3区间的人口占比最高(63.67%)且呈增长趋势, 高浓度O3区间暴露人口的年均增长率最高(12.45%), 表明O3污染对人群的影响范围正在向较高浓度区间加剧集中。研究结果可为基于健康风险防控的四川盆地区域O3污染治理提供科学依据。

       

      Abstract: In recent years, the severe surface ozone (O3) pollution has become one of the key environmental risks affecting public health. To study the spatial and temporal distribution of O3 pollution and its quantitative impact on population exposure in the Sichuan Basin (SCB), the air quality data from national-controlled environmental monitoring stations from 2015 to 2022, the Tracking Air Pollution (TAP) dataset of atmospheric composition in China, and the population density information were used, and the statistical analysis and a population-weighted O3 exposure model were employed. The findings are as follows: (1) The TAP dataset demonstrates high reliability, with strong correlation to observational data. (2) O3 concentrations exhibited a fluctuating upward trend, increasing by 11.73% in the SCB from 2015 to 2022. The high-value centers of ozone concentration were mainly in the central urban areas of Chengdu and Chongqing, and gradually spreading to form a spatial pattern of regional ozone pollution. (3) The population-weighted average O3 concentration in each city was higher than the regional average, indicating a significant potential health risk associated to O3. From 2015 to 2022, the proportion of the population in the SCB exposed to medium-to-high O3 concentration reached a peak of 63.67% and showed an upward trend; the annual growth rate for the population exposed to high O3 concentration was the highest at 12.45%, suggesting that the impact of O3 pollution on the population is gradually shifting toward higher concentration ranges. The research findings provide a scientific basis for implementing health risk-based ozone pollution management in the SCB.

       

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