长江干支流沿岸城市污染密集型产业时空演变及其驱动因素分析

    Analysis of the Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Pollution Intensive Industries in Cities along the Main and Tributary Rivers of the Yangtze River

    • 摘要: 污染密集型产业发展状况可以揭示城市绿色发展过程,本文利用2000—2020年长江干支流沿岸64个城市的工业产值和地理区位数据,探索污染密集型产业空间格局演化及转移特征。结果表明:(1)污染密集型产业产值在工业总产值中占比逐步下降,2015—2020年产值增速出现负增长,反映产业结构进入转型调整期;(2)从流域特征来看,污染密集型产业自长江下游向中上游转移和扩散的趋势愈发显著,支流沿岸城市成为产业转移的主要承接地;从行业特征来看,污染密集型产业总体上分布较为集中,但多数行业产业集中度随时间变化呈波动下降趋势。(3)产业结构、外向度、劳动力成本和基础设施是驱动长江干支流沿岸污染密集型产业空间布局演化的主要因素。

       

      Abstract: The development status of pollution-intensive industries provides insights into the "green development" of urban areas. This study examines the spatial pattern evolution and transfer characteristics of the pollution-intensive industries in 64 cities along the main and tributary streams of the Yangtze River during 2000-2020, using industrial output and geographic location data. The major findings are as follows: (1) the proportion of pollution-intensive industry output in gross industrial output declined gradually, particularly for the negative growth rate from 2015 to 2020, indicating a transition and adjustment in the industrial structure; (2) the pollution-intensive industries exhibited significant transfer and spread from the lower reaches of the Yangtze River to the middle and upper reaches, with tributary cities serving as primary destinations for the industrial transfer; although the pollution-intensive industries were generally concentrated in certain areas the degree of concentration showed a fluctuating decline over time. (3) the spatial layout evolution of the pollution-intensive industries along the main and tributary streams of the Yangtze River was primarily driven by industrial structure, openness, labor costs, and infrastructure.

       

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